Switch software sales are absolutely ridiculous. Monster Hunter as a franchise is bigger than ever. Combining the two seems like a pretty big recipe for success. Now, while I personally wouldn’t bet on it, I think there is a distinct possibility of it happening. It seems insane but with the PC version of Rise more or less confirmed, I don’t think it’s totally out of the picture like most would claim. It’ll at least get far closer than you’d think.
Let’s take a look at MHW’s leaked sales numbersIt’s worth noting Switch install base when Rise releases will be bigger than PS4’s was when World released in World’s biggest regions, being Japan, America, and Asia. I’m unsure about EU but I’m sure it’s close.
I think it’s entirely possible Rise NSW‘s Japanese sales are equal to World PS4’s Japanese sales + MHW’s global Xbox sales. Considering how well MH4 did, and how literally every 3DS franchise that has made it to Switch has seem a massive increase in sales, I think MHP3’s record is finally breaking and it hits 5M.
Rise NSW’s Asian sales exceeding World PS4’s Asian sales also seems reasonable. Switch seems to be fair bit more successful than PS4 in this market, especially with software sales. Switch is also more successful launch aligned in America than PS4, so Rise NSW doing about as well if not slightly more than MHW PS4 is doable. I have no idea about Switch in Europe so let’s just assume by default Rise NSW does worse than MHW PS4 here, but I think America and especially Asia can make up the difference.
All that is to say, I think it’s very much possible Rise NSW does about the same as World PS4+XBO, The big question mark at that point is how Rise does on PC compared to World on the same platform. Who knows how strong the retention from World to Rise will be, but it’s worth noting Rise will probably have lower system requirements, which may help it sell more. And the PC release of World may have brought in enough new hardcore fans of the franchise that will be ready to buy any new release that comes their way.
Now I want to make it clear, I’m not saying any of this is a certainty lol. Just because the Switch is doing better than PS4 launch aligned doesn’t mean that will translate to those platforms’ respective Mon Hun games! But moreso than the hardware sales, Switch software is just performing at an unprecedented rate. I would be surprised if an exclusive Mon Hun were to break that trend.
And one huge caveat, if Rise does actually overtake World, it won’t happen immediately. It might pass it launch aligned at some point, but LTD will be hard, especially because World continues to sell strongly to this day! We know Rise is getting a major expansion sometime in 2022, so I imagine that game will have strong continued success as well. But Monster Hunter World is Capcom’s best selling game ever. Outdoing that would be a gargantuan feat. I simply wanted to make that case that it’s , which is insane in of itself.
But at the end of the day I think both World and Rise will be comfortably be Capcom’s two best selling games ever. Both console and handheld Monster Hunter have a place to exist, and the franchise’s fans should be happy no matter what. But it’s fun to speculate. :p