The truth is, to many Americans, Trump is just an incumbent President that is presiding over a growing economy. That growth started under Obama, but that distinction isn't going to matter to them. Iowa turnout was up in the burbs and the city, but down everywhere else. The way things are going now, is that we'll win a big popular vote margin, but lose in the general because rural people decided to stay home or side with Trump. If nothing changes between now and then, he's gonna win again. I can't even imagine a scandal sinking him that doesn't involve child predation, because literally nothing else has worked. Either the economy goes to hell, Trump pulls a Milo and crosses the one line even conservatives have, or it's 4 more years of Trump. This was "black pill" that was tough to take, but it seems true.